Former top federal budget official David Stockman has a stark warning for investors: There’s going to be a disaster in Washington and you’re not going to see it coming.
Stockman, an ardent critic of President Donald Trump, has strong doubts that the rosy view investors are taking on the economy can hold water in the near-term. As usual, he didn’t mince words when explaining his perspective to CNBC.
Last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 Index jumped following Trump’s speech to Congress, with markets growing more bullish about the Trump policy agenda. Yet since Wednesday, both indexes have failed to continue the trend of new highs.
“Wall Street is totally misreading Washington,” Stockman told CNBC’s “Futures Now”in a recent interview. “It’s pricing in a fantasy about a Trump stimulus that simply isn’t going to happen. There will be no tax cut, there will be no 15 or 20 dollar a share reduction in the corporate rate.”
According to Stockman, the main catalyst for his pessimism about Trump’s policies is the “debt ceiling trap” that he contended will prevent tax reform, infrastructure and defense spending that have excited so many investors.
Given the “factions” among the Republican Party today, the former Reagan aide also believed that the political turmoil could result in a gridlock the markets don’t see coming.
“We will have a government shutdown,” said Stockman. “It is totally unexpected, unpriced in by Wall Street, [and] it will spook everybody.”